Fight Night 22 – Jim Miller vs. Gleison Tibau Prediction

JIM MILLER vs. GLEISON TIBAU
Fight Overview:  Two extremely prolific grapplers with solid UFC records go at it.  Miller is one of the toughest guys in the sport and has only dropped fights to the current champion and the current #1 contender, but Tibau is very physically imposing.
Miller’s Strengths:  Miller has a very dynamic ground game, with excellent sweeps and submissions.  He has also never been finished in his career.
Miller’s Weaknesses:  His standup is fairly rudimentary and his wrestling isn’t up to snuff with the rest of his grappling game.
Tibau’s Strengths:  Tibau also has superlative jiu-jitsu.  He is also very strong and extremely large for the Lightweight division.

Tibau’s Weaknesses:
 Like Miller, Tibau does not have much in the way of a standup game.  He is also more mistake-prone than Miller, and has somewhat questionable cardio due to his huge frame and muscle mass.
The Verdict:  This is as close as a fight gets.  Neither guy has the kind of striking to take control of the fight, and both are so skilled on the ground that they will probably cancel each other out.  That said, I think Tibau edges this one based on superior wrestling and physicality.  It will be close, but Tibau should be able to control pace and position well enough to earn the decision.
Fight Prediction:  Gleison Tibau by unanimous decision.
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